Generated 01 Sep 2026, 16:24 · kick-off times WEST

Daily Card

Wednesday 02 September 2026

Every selection below has a negative expected return. This page ranks which bet loses least, because measured across 61,412 matches nothing in this project loses nothing. The model is not used to pick — it was measured at −6.8% and its own selections are its weakest output.

-3.78%

Best available
expected return

Matches
shown

Competitions
covered

Selections
per match

Today’s Top 5

The five least-bad selections on the whole board — one per match, ranked by expected return. Featured, not endorsed: every one of them still loses.

19:45 · Championship

Millwall v Wrexham

Millwall 1X2

2.20odds

-3.78%expected

19:45 · Championship

West Brom v Charlton

West Brom 1X2

1.77odds

-3.81%expected

19:45 · Championship

QPR v Cardiff

QPR 1X2

1.91odds

-3.98%expected

19:45 · Scottish Premiership

Celtic v Aberdeen

Celtic 1X2

1.22odds

-4.25%expected

20:00 · Championship

Burnley v Boro

Burnley 1X2

2.65odds

-5.05%expected

Top 3 Multis

Built from the day’s shortest-priced favourites — the accumulators most likely to actually land. Every leg multiplies the commission: watch the expected return get worse with each leg added.

The Double1.96

CelticCeltic v Aberdeen · 19:451.22
RangersFalkirk v Rangers · 20:001.61

44% chance it lands-9.6% expected

The Treble3.47

CelticCeltic v Aberdeen · 19:451.22
RangersFalkirk v Rangers · 20:001.61
West BromWest Brom v Charlton · 19:451.77

24% chance it lands-13.0% expected

The Five-Fold12.40

CelticCeltic v Aberdeen · 19:451.22
RangersFalkirk v Rangers · 20:001.61
West BromWest Brom v Charlton · 19:451.77
SassuoloSassuolo v Frosinone · 14:001.87
QPRQPR v Cardiff · 19:451.91

6% chance it lands-20.8% expected

Other Top Flights

6 matches · ranked by expected return. Click a card for stats.

19:30Pro Leaguestats

Sint-Truidense v Union SG

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Union SG1X2	2.05	6.4%	-5.39%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.74	7.4%	-6.66%
#3	Sint-Truidense1X2	3.55	6.4%	-6.83%
#4	Draw1X2	3.40	6.4%	-6.83%
#5	Under 2.5O/U	2.00	7.4%	-8.35%

Market favourite: Union SG (46%) @ 2.05

Academia das Apostas pick — Menos de 2,5 golos

Form · last 5, latest right

Sint-TruidenseDDWLWGF 8 · GA 5

Union SGDWLDWGF 8 · GA 1

Points per game

Sint-Truidense1.67season · 3 gm1.60last 5

Union SG2.33season · 3 gm1.60last 5

Head to head · USG leads series 4-1

02 May 26Sint-Truidense 2–1 Union St.-Gilloise

04 Apr 26Union St.-Gilloise 1–0 Sint-Truidense

22 Mar 26Sint-Truidense 1–3 Union St.-Gilloise

26 Oct 25Union St.-Gilloise 2–0 Sint-Truidense

02 Feb 25Union St.-Gilloise 2–1 Sint-Truidense

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Royal Charleroi	4	4	0	0	9	2	12
2	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
3	KAA Gent	3	3	0	0	6	2	9
4	Zulte-Waregem	4	2	2	0	8	3	8
5	Standard Liege	4	2	2	0	9	6	8
6	Union SG	3	2	1	0	8	1	7
7	Genk	4	2	1	1	12	8	7
8	Lommel SK	4	2	1	1	6	2	7
9	Antwerp	4	2	1	1	10	9	7
10	Sint-Truidense	3	1	2	0	8	5	5
11	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
12	Waasland-Beveren	4	1	0	3	2	10	3
13	Cercle Brugge	4	0	2	2	5	7	2
14	KV Mechelen	4	0	2	2	5	9	2
15	La Louvière	4	0	1	3	4	8	1
16	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	5	14	1
17	OH Leuven	3	0	0	3	2	8	0
18	KV Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	1	9	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45Scottish Premiershipstats

Celtic v Aberdeen

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Celtic1X2	1.22	7.6%	-4.25%
#2	Over 3.5O/U	1.87	8.0%	-7.25%
#3	Under 3.5O/U	1.83	8.0%	-7.25%
#4	Aberdeen handicapAH	2.15	8.8%	-7.35%
#5	Celtic -1.5AH	1.61	8.8%	-8.70%

Market favourite: Celtic (76%) @ 1.22

Form · last 5, latest right

CelticWWWLWGF 8 · GA 2

AberdeenWWLWLGF 2 · GA 4

Points per game

Celtic3.00season · 3 gm2.40last 5

Aberdeen1.00season · 3 gm1.80last 5

Head to head · CEL leads series 4-1

04 Mar 26Aberdeen 1–2 Celtic

21 Dec 25Celtic 3–1 Aberdeen

10 Aug 25Aberdeen 0–2 Celtic

24 May 25Aberdeen 1–1 Celtic

14 May 25Aberdeen 1–5 Celtic

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	8	2	9
2	St Mirren	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
3	Hearts	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
4	Dundee	4	2	0	2	5	3	6
5	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
6	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
7	Rangers	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
8	Dundee Utd	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
9	St Johnstone	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
10	Aberdeen	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
11	Falkirk	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	4	13	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45Scottish Premiershipstats

Dundee v St Johnstone

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Dundee1X2	2.55	7.4%	-6.95%
#2	St Johnstone1X2	2.55	7.4%	-6.95%
#3	Over 2.5O/U	1.80	7.9%	-7.15%
#4	Under 2.5O/U	1.91	7.9%	-7.15%
#5	St Johnstone handicapAH	2.40	8.9%	-7.46%

Market favourite: Dundee (37%) @ 2.55

Academia das Apostas pick — Dundee FC vence ou empata e mais de 1.5 golos

Form · last 5, latest right

DundeeLWLWLGF 5 · GA 3

St JohnstoneLLWLLGF 5 · GA 6

Points per game

Dundee1.50season · 4 gm1.20last 5

St Johnstone1.00season · 3 gm0.60last 5

Head to head · DUN leads series 2-1-2

18 May 25St Johnstone 0–2 Dundee

01 Mar 25Dundee 1–1 St Johnstone

05 Jan 25St Johnstone 1–3 Dundee

26 Oct 24Dundee 1–2 St Johnstone

23 Apr 22Dundee 1–1 St Johnstone

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	8	2	9
2	St Mirren	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
3	Hearts	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
4	Dundee	4	2	0	2	5	3	6
5	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
6	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
7	Rangers	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
8	Dundee Utd	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
9	St Johnstone	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
10	Aberdeen	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
11	Falkirk	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	4	13	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45Scottish Premiershipstats

Kilmarnock v St Mirren

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Kilmarnock1X2	2.65	6.8%	-6.34%
#2	St Mirren1X2	2.55	6.8%	-6.34%
#3	Over 2.5O/U	1.77	7.7%	-6.96%
#4	Under 2.5O/U	1.95	7.7%	-6.96%
#5	Draw1X2	3.35	6.8%	-7.27%

Market favourite: St Mirren (37%) @ 2.55

Academia das Apostas pick — Kilmarnock ou St. Mirren e mais de 1.5 golos

Form · last 5, latest right

KilmarnockLLLWLGF 4 · GA 13

St MirrenLWWLDGF 6 · GA 3

Points per game

Kilmarnock0.00season · 3 gm0.60last 5

St Mirren2.33season · 3 gm1.40last 5

Head to head · KIL leads series 3-1-1

09 May 26St Mirren 0–3 Kilmarnock

11 Feb 26Kilmarnock 4–3 St Mirren

27 Dec 25St Mirren 0–0 Kilmarnock

04 Oct 25Kilmarnock 2–0 St Mirren

19 Sep 25Kilmarnock 2–2 St Mirren

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	8	2	9
2	St Mirren	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
3	Hearts	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
4	Dundee	4	2	0	2	5	3	6
5	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
6	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
7	Rangers	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
8	Dundee Utd	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
9	St Johnstone	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
10	Aberdeen	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
11	Falkirk	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	4	13	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45Scottish Premiershipstats

Motherwell v Dundee Utd

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Motherwell1X2	1.95	7.2%	-6.05%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.67	7.6%	-6.83%
#3	Draw1X2	3.60	7.2%	-7.63%
#4	Dundee Utd1X2	3.55	7.2%	-7.63%
#5	Under 2.5O/U	2.10	7.6%	-8.52%

Market favourite: Motherwell (48%) @ 1.95

Form · last 5, latest right

MotherwellWLLLDGF 5 · GA 4

Dundee UtdDLLLWGF 5 · GA 7

Points per game

Motherwell1.67season · 3 gm0.80last 5

Dundee Utd1.00season · 4 gm0.80last 5

Head to head · MOT leads series 3-1-1

28 Feb 26Motherwell 2–0 Dundee United

13 Dec 25Dundee United 0–0 Motherwell

29 Oct 25Motherwell 2–0 Dundee United

22 Feb 25Dundee United 1–0 Motherwell

14 Dec 24Motherwell 4–3 Dundee United

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	8	2	9
2	St Mirren	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
3	Hearts	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
4	Dundee	4	2	0	2	5	3	6
5	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
6	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
7	Rangers	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
8	Dundee Utd	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
9	St Johnstone	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
10	Aberdeen	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
11	Falkirk	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	4	13	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

20:00Scottish Premiershipstats

Falkirk v Rangers

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Rangers1X2	1.61	6.7%	-5.54%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.57	8.1%	-7.30%
#3	Falkirk +0.5AH	2.25	9.4%	-7.94%
#4	Under 2.5O/U	2.25	8.1%	-8.98%
#5	Rangers handicapAH	1.54	9.4%	-9.28%

Market favourite: Rangers (58%) @ 1.61

Form · last 5, latest right

FalkirkLWLDLGF 1 · GA 4

RangersDWWLWGF 3 · GA 3

Points per game

Falkirk0.33season · 3 gm0.80last 5

Rangers1.33season · 3 gm2.00last 5

Head to head · RAN leads series 3-0-2

16 May 26Falkirk 2–5 Rangers

12 Apr 26Falkirk 3–6 Rangers

30 Nov 25Rangers 0–0 Falkirk

05 Oct 25Falkirk 1–1 Rangers

29 Nov 20Falkirk 0–4 Rangers

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	8	2	9
2	St Mirren	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
3	Hearts	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
4	Dundee	4	2	0	2	5	3	6
5	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
6	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
7	Rangers	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
8	Dundee Utd	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
9	St Johnstone	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
10	Aberdeen	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
11	Falkirk	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	4	13	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

Lower Leagues

9 matches · ranked by expected return. Click a card for stats.

19:45Championshipstats

Millwall v Wrexham

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Millwall1X2	2.20	4.7%	-3.78%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.91	5.9%	-5.08%
#3	Under 2.5O/U	1.87	5.9%	-5.08%
#4	Draw1X2	3.45	4.7%	-5.21%
#5	Wrexham1X2	3.30	4.7%	-5.21%

Market favourite: Millwall (43%) @ 2.20

Academia das Apostas pick — Ambas equipas marcam? Sim

Form · last 5, latest right

MillwallWWWWLGF 6 · GA 5

WrexhamDLDDLGF 3 · GA 4

Points per game

Millwall2.00season · 3 gm2.40last 5

Wrexham0.67season · 3 gm0.60last 5

Head to head · Series tied 1-1

07 Feb 26Wrexham 0–2 Millwall

30 Aug 25Millwall 0–2 Wrexham

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlton	3	3	0	0	5	2	9
2	Wolves	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
3	Swansea	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
4	QPR	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
5	Boro	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
6	Millwall	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
7	West Brom	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
8	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
9	Watford	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
10	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Bolton	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
12	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
13	Cardiff	3	0	3	0	5	5	3
14	Sheffield Utd	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
15	Portsmouth	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
16	Norwich City	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
17	Lincoln City	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
18	Southampton	3	2	0	1	9	4	2
19	West Ham	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
20	Wrexham	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
21	Derby	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
22	Burnley	3	0	1	2	4	9	1
23	Preston	3	0	0	3	2	6	0
24	Stoke	3	0	0	3	3	9	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45Championshipstats

QPR v Cardiff

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	QPR1X2	1.91	5.1%	-3.98%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.74	6.2%	-5.44%
#3	Draw1X2	3.95	5.1%	-5.56%
#4	Cardiff1X2	3.65	5.1%	-5.56%
#5	QPR -0.5AH	1.87	7.0%	-6.90%

Market favourite: QPR (50%) @ 1.91

Academia das Apostas pick — Ambas equipas marcam? Sim

Form · last 5, latest right

QPRLLWDWGF 5 · GA 2

CardiffWDDLDGF 5 · GA 5

Points per game

QPR2.33season · 3 gm1.40last 5

Cardiff1.00season · 3 gm1.20last 5

Head to head · QPR leads series 2-1-2

05 Apr 25Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Cardiff City

27 Nov 24Cardiff City 0–2 Queens Park Rangers

01 Jan 24Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Cardiff City

12 Aug 23Cardiff City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers

26 Dec 22Cardiff City 0–0 Queens Park Rangers

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlton	3	3	0	0	5	2	9
2	Wolves	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
3	Swansea	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
4	QPR	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
5	Boro	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
6	Millwall	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
7	West Brom	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
8	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
9	Watford	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
10	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Bolton	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
12	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
13	Cardiff	3	0	3	0	5	5	3
14	Sheffield Utd	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
15	Portsmouth	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
16	Norwich City	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
17	Lincoln City	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
18	Southampton	3	2	0	1	9	4	2
19	West Ham	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
20	Wrexham	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
21	Derby	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
22	Burnley	3	0	1	2	4	9	1
23	Preston	3	0	0	3	2	6	0
24	Stoke	3	0	0	3	3	9	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45Championshipstats

West Brom v Charlton

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	West Brom1X2	1.77	4.9%	-3.81%
#2	Under 2.5O/U	1.77	5.3%	-4.52%
#3	Draw1X2	3.75	4.9%	-5.40%
#4	Over 2.5O/U	2.05	5.3%	-6.21%
#5	Charlton handicapAH	2.00	8.3%	-6.91%

Market favourite: West Brom (54%) @ 1.77

Academia das Apostas pick — West Bromwich para vencer

Form · last 5, latest right

West BromWWWLLGF 6 · GA 5

CharltonWWWLWGF 5 · GA 2

Points per game

West Brom2.00season · 3 gm1.80last 5

Charlton3.00season · 3 gm2.40last 5

Head to head · Series tied 1-1-3

24 Feb 26West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Charlton Athletic

04 Nov 25Charlton Athletic 1–0 West Bromwich Albion

11 Jan 20Charlton Athletic 2–2 West Bromwich Albion

05 Jan 20Charlton Athletic 0–1 West Bromwich Albion

26 Oct 19West Bromwich Albion 2–2 Charlton Athletic

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlton	3	3	0	0	5	2	9
2	Wolves	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
3	Swansea	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
4	QPR	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
5	Boro	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
6	Millwall	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
7	West Brom	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
8	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
9	Watford	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
10	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Bolton	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
12	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
13	Cardiff	3	0	3	0	5	5	3
14	Sheffield Utd	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
15	Portsmouth	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
16	Norwich City	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
17	Lincoln City	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
18	Southampton	3	2	0	1	9	4	2
19	West Ham	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
20	Wrexham	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
21	Derby	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
22	Burnley	3	0	1	2	4	9	1
23	Preston	3	0	0	3	2	6	0
24	Stoke	3	0	0	3	3	9	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45League Onestats

Barnsley v Blackpool

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Barnsley1X2	2.20	6.8%	-5.84%
#2	Draw1X2	3.50	6.8%	-7.28%
#3	Blackpool1X2	3.05	6.8%	-7.28%
#4	Barnsley -0.5AH	2.10	9.2%	-7.74%
#5	Over 2.5O/U	1.67	8.8%	-7.99%

Market favourite: Barnsley (43%) @ 2.20

Form · last 5, latest right

BarnsleyWLDWWGF 3 · GA 2

BlackpoolWDWLWGF 7 · GA 2

Points per game

Barnsley1.33season · 3 gm2.00last 5

Blackpool2.33season · 3 gm2.00last 5

Head to head · BLP leads series 3-2

17 Jan 26Barnsley 2–1 Blackpool

20 Sep 25Blackpool 1–0 Barnsley

08 Mar 25Barnsley 0–3 Blackpool

19 Oct 24Blackpool 1–2 Barnsley

20 Apr 24Blackpool 3–2 Barnsley

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blackpool	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
2	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	Stockport	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
4	Sheffield Wed	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
5	Mansfield	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
6	Bradford	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
7	Notts County	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
8	Oxford Utd	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
9	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
10	Cambridge	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Burton Albion	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
12	Plymouth	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
13	Luton	3	1	1	1	8	10	4
14	Wimbledon	3	1	1	1	1	3	4
15	Bromley	3	1	1	1	4	8	4
16	MK Dons	3	0	3	0	3	3	3
17	Leyton Orient	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
18	Peterborough	3	1	0	2	2	7	3
19	Stevenage	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
20	Doncaster	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
21	Leicester	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
22	Wycombe	3	0	2	1	3	7	2
23	Reading	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
24	Wigan	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45League Onestats

Burton Albion v Wimbledon

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Burton Albion1X2	1.95	7.2%	-6.11%
#2	Under 2.5O/U	1.74	7.4%	-6.66%
#3	Draw1X2	3.45	7.2%	-7.70%
#4	Wimbledon1X2	3.70	7.2%	-7.70%
#5	Over 2.5O/U	2.00	7.4%	-8.35%

Market favourite: Burton Albion (48%) @ 1.95

Form · last 5, latest right

Burton AlbionDLDWLGF 4 · GA 4

WimbledonLLDLWGF 1 · GA 3

Points per game

Burton Albion1.33season · 3 gm1.00last 5

Wimbledon1.33season · 3 gm0.80last 5

Head to head · BRT leads series 3-0-2

11 Apr 26Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon

25 Oct 25AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Burton Albion

22 Jan 22Burton Albion 1–1 AFC Wimbledon

02 Oct 21AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Burton Albion

09 Mar 21AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Burton Albion

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blackpool	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
2	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	Stockport	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
4	Sheffield Wed	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
5	Mansfield	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
6	Bradford	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
7	Notts County	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
8	Oxford Utd	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
9	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
10	Cambridge	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Burton Albion	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
12	Plymouth	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
13	Luton	3	1	1	1	8	10	4
14	Wimbledon	3	1	1	1	1	3	4
15	Bromley	3	1	1	1	4	8	4
16	MK Dons	3	0	3	0	3	3	3
17	Leyton Orient	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
18	Peterborough	3	1	0	2	2	7	3
19	Stevenage	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
20	Doncaster	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
21	Leicester	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
22	Wycombe	3	0	2	1	3	7	2
23	Reading	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
24	Wigan	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45League Onestats

Luton v Stockport

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Luton1X2	2.20	6.6%	-5.64%
#2	Stockport1X2	2.90	6.6%	-6.14%
#3	Over 2.5O/U	1.67	7.6%	-6.83%
#4	Draw1X2	3.75	6.6%	-7.07%
#5	Luton -0.5AH	2.10	9.2%	-7.74%

Market favourite: Luton (43%) @ 2.20

Form · last 5, latest right

LutonWWDLLGF 8 · GA 10

StockportLWWLWGF 9 · GA 4

Points per game

Luton1.33season · 3 gm1.40last 5

Stockport2.00season · 3 gm1.80last 5

Head to head · LTN leads series 4-0-1

12 Apr 26Luton Town 3–1 Stockport County

21 Mar 26Luton Town 1–1 Stockport County

08 Nov 25Stockport County 0–3 Luton Town

19 Mar 13Luton Town 1–0 Stockport County

02 Mar 13Stockport County 0–1 Luton Town

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blackpool	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
2	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	Stockport	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
4	Sheffield Wed	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
5	Mansfield	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
6	Bradford	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
7	Notts County	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
8	Oxford Utd	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
9	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
10	Cambridge	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Burton Albion	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
12	Plymouth	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
13	Luton	3	1	1	1	8	10	4
14	Wimbledon	3	1	1	1	1	3	4
15	Bromley	3	1	1	1	4	8	4
16	MK Dons	3	0	3	0	3	3	3
17	Leyton Orient	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
18	Peterborough	3	1	0	2	2	7	3
19	Stevenage	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
20	Doncaster	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
21	Leicester	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
22	Wycombe	3	0	2	1	3	7	2
23	Reading	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
24	Wigan	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45League Onestats

Wigan v MK Dons

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Wigan1X2	2.40	6.6%	-5.64%
#2	MK Dons1X2	2.85	6.6%	-6.14%
#3	Draw1X2	3.35	6.6%	-7.07%
#4	Over 2.5O/U	1.95	8.7%	-7.88%
#5	Under 2.5O/U	1.74	8.7%	-7.88%

Market favourite: Wigan (39%) @ 2.40

Form · last 5, latest right

WiganLLWLLGF 2 · GA 6

MK DonsDLDDDGF 3 · GA 3

Points per game

Wigan0.00season · 3 gm0.60last 5

MK Dons1.00season · 3 gm0.80last 5

Head to head · Series tied 2-2-1

12 Mar 22Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Wigan Athletic

19 Oct 21Wigan Athletic 1–2 Milton Keynes Dons

06 Mar 21Wigan Athletic 3–0 Milton Keynes Dons

27 Oct 20Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Wigan Athletic

07 Apr 18Wigan Athletic 5–1 Milton Keynes Dons

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blackpool	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
2	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	Stockport	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
4	Sheffield Wed	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
5	Mansfield	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
6	Bradford	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
7	Notts County	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
8	Oxford Utd	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
9	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
10	Cambridge	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Burton Albion	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
12	Plymouth	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
13	Luton	3	1	1	1	8	10	4
14	Wimbledon	3	1	1	1	1	3	4
15	Bromley	3	1	1	1	4	8	4
16	MK Dons	3	0	3	0	3	3	3
17	Leyton Orient	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
18	Peterborough	3	1	0	2	2	7	3
19	Stevenage	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
20	Doncaster	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
21	Leicester	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
22	Wycombe	3	0	2	1	3	7	2
23	Reading	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
24	Wigan	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

20:00Championshipstats

Burnley v Boro

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Burnley1X2	2.65	5.5%	-5.05%
#2	Boro1X2	2.50	5.5%	-5.05%
#3	Over 2.5O/U	1.77	6.5%	-5.74%
#4	Draw1X2	3.60	5.5%	-5.98%
#5	Boro handicapAH	2.40	7.8%	-6.35%

Market favourite: Boro (38%) @ 2.50

Academia das Apostas pick — Mais/Menos Golos -> Mais de 2,25 Golos

Form · last 5, latest right

BurnleyWDLLLGF 4 · GA 9

BoroWWLWWGF 6 · GA 4

Points per game

Burnley0.33season · 3 gm0.80last 5

Boro2.00season · 3 gm2.40last 5

Head to head · BUR leads series 2-0-3

29 Dec 24Middlesbrough 0–0 Burnley

06 Dec 24Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough

07 Apr 23Middlesbrough 1–2 Burnley

17 Dec 22Burnley 3–1 Middlesbrough

08 Apr 17Middlesbrough 0–0 Burnley

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charlton	3	3	0	0	5	2	9
2	Wolves	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
3	Swansea	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
4	QPR	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
5	Boro	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
6	Millwall	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
7	West Brom	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
8	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
9	Watford	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
10	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Bolton	3	1	1	1	2	2	4
12	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	4	5	4
13	Cardiff	3	0	3	0	5	5	3
14	Sheffield Utd	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
15	Portsmouth	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
16	Norwich City	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
17	Lincoln City	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
18	Southampton	3	2	0	1	9	4	2
19	West Ham	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
20	Wrexham	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
21	Derby	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
22	Burnley	3	0	1	2	4	9	1
23	Preston	3	0	0	3	2	6	0
24	Stoke	3	0	0	3	3	9	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

20:00League Onestats

Reading v Mansfield

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Reading1X2	2.00	7.2%	-6.28%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.71	8.3%	-7.55%
#3	Draw1X2	3.65	7.2%	-7.72%
#4	Mansfield1X2	3.35	7.2%	-7.72%
#5	Reading -0.5AH	1.95	8.7%	-8.59%

Market favourite: Reading (47%) @ 2.00

Form · last 5, latest right

ReadingWLWDWGF 3 · GA 4

MansfieldLWLLWGF 8 · GA 5

Points per game

Reading0.50season · 2 gm2.00last 5

Mansfield2.00season · 3 gm1.20last 5

Head to head · REA leads series 2-1-1

10 Mar 26Mansfield Town 1–0 Reading

04 Oct 25Reading 1–1 Mansfield Town

21 Apr 25Mansfield Town 1–5 Reading

29 Dec 24Reading 2–1 Mansfield Town

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blackpool	3	2	1	0	7	2	7
2	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	Stockport	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
4	Sheffield Wed	3	2	0	1	9	4	6
5	Mansfield	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
6	Bradford	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
7	Notts County	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
8	Oxford Utd	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
9	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
10	Cambridge	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
11	Burton Albion	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
12	Plymouth	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
13	Luton	3	1	1	1	8	10	4
14	Wimbledon	3	1	1	1	1	3	4
15	Bromley	3	1	1	1	4	8	4
16	MK Dons	3	0	3	0	3	3	3
17	Leyton Orient	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
18	Peterborough	3	1	0	2	2	7	3
19	Stevenage	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
20	Doncaster	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
21	Leicester	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
22	Wycombe	3	0	2	1	3	7	2
23	Reading	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
24	Wigan	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

Domestic Cups

2 matches · ranked by expected return. Click a card for stats.

14:00Coppa Italiastats

Sassuolo v Frosinone

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Sassuolo1X2	1.87	6.3%	-5.15%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.87	7.0%	-6.19%
#3	Under 2.5O/U	1.87	7.0%	-6.19%
#4	Draw1X2	3.60	6.3%	-6.73%
#5	Sassuolo -0.5AH	1.83	8.0%	-7.95%

Market favourite: Sassuolo (50%) @ 1.87

Academia das Apostas pick — Mais/Menos Golos -> Mais de 2,25 Golos

Form · last 5, latest right

SassuoloLLWLW

FrosinoneWWWLW

Points per game

Sassuolo1.20last 5

Frosinone2.40last 5

Head to head · Series tied 2-2-1

13 May 25Sassuolo 0–1 Frosinone

14 Dec 24Frosinone 1–2 Sassuolo

09 Mar 24Sassuolo 1–0 Frosinone

17 Sep 23Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo

05 May 19Sassuolo 2–2 Frosinone

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

17:00Coppa Italiastats

Udinese v Venezia

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Udinese1X2	1.95	7.2%	-6.11%
#2	Draw1X2	3.45	7.2%	-7.70%
#3	Venezia1X2	3.70	7.2%	-7.70%
#4	Over 2.5O/U	1.87	9.0%	-8.26%
#5	Under 2.5O/U	1.80	9.0%	-8.26%

Market favourite: Udinese (48%) @ 1.95

Academia das Apostas pick — Udinese para vencer

Form · last 5, latest right

UdineseLLWDW

VeneziaDWWLL

Points per game

Udinese1.40last 5

Venezia1.40last 5

Head to head · UDI leads series 3-1

01 Feb 25Udinese 3–2 Venezia

30 Oct 24Venezia 3–2 Udinese

10 Apr 22Venezia 1–2 Udinese

27 Aug 21Udinese 3–0 Venezia

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

How these are chosen

Two market facts do the ranking, and neither is a prediction.

Price. Short-priced selections lose far less than long ones — −0.5% at odds under 1.50 against −24% above 10.00, measured on every closing price in 362,970 matches. This is the favourite–long-shot bias. It is well known, already in the price, and cannot be beaten — only respected.

Commission. Each selection is then charged the actual margin on the line being offered, which today ranges across the card. A bet at 9% commission must overcome six more points than the same bet at 3%.

What would help more than any pick here is taking the best price across several bookmakers rather than one: worth about +2.8 points at match result, measured the same way. That is larger than the spread across this entire page.

calibration built 2026-08-27 · python3 picks.py --recalibrate