Generated 01 Nov 2026, 02:50 · kick-off times WET

Boet

Monday 02 November 2026

Every selection below has a negative expected return. This page ranks which bet loses least, because measured across 61,412 matches nothing in this project loses nothing. The model is not used to pick — it was measured at −6.8% and its own selections are its weakest output.

-3.35%

Best available
expected return

Matches
shown

Competitions
covered

Selections
per match

Today’s Top 5

The five least-bad selections on the whole board — one per match, ranked by expected return. Featured, not endorsed: every one of them still loses.

20:00 · Premier League

Newcastle v Everton

Newcastle 1X2

2.40odds

-3.35%expected

20:00 · Segunda Division

Mallorca v Cádiz

Mallorca 1X2

1.49odds

-3.66%expected

19:45 · Ligue 1

Lorient v Brest

Lorient 1X2

2.50odds

-4.32%expected

20:00 · La Liga

Deportivo v Osasuna

Deportivo 1X2

2.15odds

-4.48%expected

17:30 · Serie A

Sassuolo v Fiorentina

Under 3.5 O/U

1.59odds

-4.73%expected

Top 3 Multis

Built from the day’s shortest-priced favourites — the accumulators most likely to actually land. Every leg multiplies the commission: watch the expected return get worse with each leg added.

The Double2.21

MallorcaMallorca v Cádiz · 20:001.49
AtalantaAtalanta v Parma · 19:451.49

39% chance it lands-8.8% expected

The Treble3.69

MallorcaMallorca v Cádiz · 20:001.49
AtalantaAtalanta v Parma · 19:451.49
ReimsReims v Sochaux · 19:451.67

22% chance it lands-14.1% expected

The Five-Fold11.82

MallorcaMallorca v Cádiz · 20:001.49
AtalantaAtalanta v Parma · 19:451.49
ReimsReims v Sochaux · 19:451.67
Real OviedoReal Oviedo v Las Palmas · 15:151.71
ValladolidValladolid v Leganés · 17:301.87

6% chance it lands-23.0% expected

Top 5 Leagues

5 matches · ranked by expected return. Click a card for stats.

17:30Serie Astats

Sassuolo v Fiorentina

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Under 3.5O/U	1.59	5.5%	-4.73%
#2	Over 3.5O/U	2.35	5.5%	-6.42%
#3	Fiorentina1X2	2.30	7.9%	-6.94%
#4	Fiorentina handicapAH	2.20	8.4%	-7.00%
#5	Sassuolo1X2	2.70	7.9%	-7.45%

Market favourite: Fiorentina (40%) @ 2.30

Academia das Apostas pick — Ambas equipas marcam? Sim

Form · last 5, latest right

SassuoloLDLLDGF 14 · GA 22

FiorentinaDLLLDGF 11 · GA 21

Points per game

Sassuolo0.89season · 9 gm0.40last 5

Fiorentina0.56season · 9 gm0.40last 5

Head to head · Series tied 2-2-1

26 Apr 26Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo

06 Dec 25Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina

28 Apr 24Fiorentina 5–1 Sassuolo

06 Jan 24Sassuolo 1–0 Fiorentina

02 Jun 23Sassuolo 1–3 Fiorentina

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Inter Milan	9	8	1	0	25	10	25
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22	7	25
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23	8	21
4	Como	9	6	2	1	17	8	20
5	Milan	9	5	3	1	18	11	18
6	Frosinone	9	5	2	2	22	14	17
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17	11	14
8	Juventus	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
9	Torino	9	4	1	4	14	14	13
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8	13	13
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	12	12	11
12	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	16	17	11
13	Genoa	9	3	1	5	8	13	10
14	Lecce	9	3	0	6	10	19	9
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14	22	8
16	Monza	9	2	1	6	16	22	7
17	Udinese	9	1	2	6	9	18	5
18	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11	21	5
19	Parma	9	1	2	6	5	15	5
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6	19	3

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45Serie Astats

Atalanta v Parma

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Over 2.5O/U	1.61	5.7%	-4.95%
#2	Atalanta1X2	1.49	8.7%	-5.33%
#3	Atalanta -1.5AH	2.30	7.8%	-6.34%
#4	Under 2.5O/U	2.30	5.7%	-6.64%
#5	Parma handicapAH	1.56	7.8%	-7.68%

Market favourite: Atalanta (62%) @ 1.49

Academia das Apostas pick — Atalanta para vencer

Form · last 5, latest right

AtalantaWLLDDGF 16 · GA 17

ParmaWLLLDGF 5 · GA 15

Points per game

Atalanta1.22season · 9 gm1.00last 5

Parma0.56season · 9 gm0.80last 5

Head to head · Series tied 2-2-1

25 Jan 26Atalanta 4–0 Parma

30 Aug 25Parma 1–1 Atalanta

25 May 25Atalanta 2–3 Parma

23 Nov 24Parma 1–3 Atalanta

04 Aug 24Parma 4–1 Atalanta

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Inter Milan	9	8	1	0	25	10	25
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22	7	25
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23	8	21
4	Como	9	6	2	1	17	8	20
5	Milan	9	5	3	1	18	11	18
6	Frosinone	9	5	2	2	22	14	17
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17	11	14
8	Juventus	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
9	Torino	9	4	1	4	14	14	13
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8	13	13
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	12	12	11
12	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	16	17	11
13	Genoa	9	3	1	5	8	13	10
14	Lecce	9	3	0	6	10	19	9
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14	22	8
16	Monza	9	2	1	6	16	22	7
17	Udinese	9	1	2	6	9	18	5
18	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11	21	5
19	Parma	9	1	2	6	5	15	5
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6	19	3

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45Ligue 1stats

Lorient v Brest

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Lorient1X2	2.50	4.8%	-4.32%
#2	Brest1X2	2.90	4.8%	-4.32%
#3	Draw1X2	3.30	4.8%	-5.25%
#4	Under 2.5O/U	1.74	6.2%	-5.44%
#5	Lorient -0.5AH	2.35	7.5%	-6.05%

Market favourite: Lorient (38%) @ 2.50

Academia das Apostas pick — Handicap, Mais de 2 golos

Form · last 5, latest right

LorientDLWWDGF 7 · GA 6

BrestLLWDDGF 14 · GA 12

Points per game

Lorient1.50season · 8 gm1.60last 5

Brest1.12season · 8 gm1.00last 5

Head to head · BRE leads series 3-1-1

07 Feb 26Brest 2–0 Lorient

19 Oct 25Lorient 3–3 Brest

31 Mar 24Lorient 0–1 Brest

20 Dec 23Brest 4–0 Lorient

07 May 23Lorient 2–1 Brest

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG	9	6	2	1	21	10	20
2	Lille	9	5	3	1	12	6	18
3	Rennes	9	5	1	3	20	19	16
4	Monaco	8	4	3	1	11	7	15
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13	7	14
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13	9	14
7	Nice	9	4	2	3	13	12	14
8	Lens	9	4	1	4	16	13	13
9	Marseille	8	4	0	4	18	13	12
10	Lorient	8	3	3	2	7	6	12
11	Toulouse	8	2	4	2	12	11	10
12	Auxerre	8	3	1	4	12	18	10
13	Brest	8	2	3	3	14	12	9
14	Angers	8	2	2	4	9	15	8
15	Le Mans	8	1	4	3	11	16	7
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12	18	7
17	Troyes	8	1	2	5	5	16	5
18	Le Havre AC	9	0	2	7	9	20	2

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

20:00Premier Leaguestats

Newcastle v Everton

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Newcastle1X2	2.40	4.3%	-3.35%
#2	Everton1X2	2.90	4.3%	-3.86%
#3	Over 2.5O/U	1.71	4.8%	-4.06%
#4	Draw1X2	3.55	4.3%	-4.79%
#5	Under 2.5O/U	2.15	4.8%	-5.75%

Market favourite: Newcastle (40%) @ 2.40

Academia das Apostas pick — Empate devolve: Newcastle

Form · last 5, latest right

NewcastleWLLWLGF 12 · GA 14

EvertonWDLLDGF 8 · GA 9

Points per game

Newcastle1.38season · 8 gm1.20last 5

Everton1.25season · 8 gm1.00last 5

Head to head · EVE leads series 4-1

29 Oct 26Everton 3–1 Newcastle United

12 Aug 26Newcastle United 1–3 Everton

28 Feb 26Newcastle United 2–3 Everton

29 Nov 25Everton 1–4 Newcastle United

25 May 25Newcastle United 0–1 Everton

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Man City	8	7	0	1	20	9	21
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	13	5	21
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23	7	16
4	Liverpool	8	4	3	1	11	8	15
5	Chelsea	8	4	1	3	17	15	13
6	Brentford	8	2	5	1	14	9	11
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9	6	11
8	Newcastle	8	3	2	3	12	14	11
9	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	9	12	11
10	Hull	8	2	4	2	9	8	10
11	Everton	8	2	4	2	8	9	10
12	Ipswich	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
13	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	12	13	9
14	Spurs	8	2	3	3	8	10	9
15	Fulham	8	2	2	4	8	10	8
16	Man Utd	8	1	4	3	10	13	7
17	C Palace	8	2	1	5	9	19	7
18	Nottm Forest	8	1	3	4	6	10	6
19	Coventry	8	2	0	6	6	15	6
20	Sunderland	8	1	2	5	6	14	5

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

20:00La Ligastats

Deportivo v Osasuna

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Deportivo1X2	2.15	5.4%	-4.48%
#2	Under 2.5O/U	1.67	5.5%	-4.67%
#3	Draw1X2	3.25	5.4%	-5.92%
#4	Osasuna1X2	3.55	5.4%	-5.92%
#5	Over 2.5O/U	2.20	5.5%	-6.36%

Market favourite: Deportivo (44%) @ 2.15

Form · last 5, latest right

DeportivoDLDLDGF 13 · GA 13

OsasunaDLWLDGF 10 · GA 20

Points per game

Deportivo1.10season · 10 gm0.60last 5

Osasuna1.10season · 10 gm1.00last 5

Head to head · Series tied 2-2-1

16 Dec 21Deportivo 1–2 Osasuna

13 Apr 19Osasuna 2–1 Deportivo

24 Nov 18Deportivo 2–0 Osasuna

30 Apr 17Osasuna 2–2 Deportivo

18 Dec 16Deportivo 2–0 Osasuna

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona	10	9	0	1	40	11	27
2	Atlético	10	8	1	1	20	8	25
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	25	10	24
4	Betis	10	6	2	2	16	14	20
5	Real Sociedad	10	6	1	3	19	18	19
6	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	16	16	17
7	Alavés	10	3	3	4	14	11	12
8	Athletic	9	3	3	3	12	9	12
9	Celta Vigo	10	2	6	2	10	7	12
10	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15	15	12
11	Deportivo	10	2	5	3	13	13	11
12	Espanyol	11	3	2	6	13	14	11
13	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	10	20	11
14	Racing	10	3	2	5	15	26	11
15	Levante	10	2	4	4	16	19	10
16	Elche	10	2	4	4	14	17	10
17	Rayo	9	2	3	4	12	20	9
18	Getafe	10	2	3	5	5	15	9
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7	17	6
20	Málaga	10	0	5	5	7	19	5

Primeira Liga

2 matches · ranked by expected return. Click a card for stats.

20:15Primeira Ligastats

Benfica v Alverca

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Benfica -2.5AH	2.20	9.1%	-7.67%
#2	Over 3.5O/U	1.91	8.9%	-8.12%
#3	Under 3.5O/U	1.77	8.9%	-8.12%
#4	Alverca handicapAH	1.57	9.1%	-9.01%
#5	Draw1X2	7.50	7.7%	-15.45%

Academia das Apostas pick — Benfica vence e mais de 2.5 golos

Form · last 5, latest right

BenficaLWWWDGF 26 · GA 8

AlvercaWWWLDGF 13 · GA 13

Points per game

Benfica2.44season · 9 gm2.00last 5

Alverca1.22season · 9 gm2.00last 5

Head to head · SLB leads series 2-0

08 Feb 26Benfica 2–1 Alverca

31 Aug 25Alverca 1–2 Benfica

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	21	4	27
2	Benfica	9	7	1	1	26	8	22
3	Sporting	10	6	3	1	23	11	21
4	Santa Clara	9	5	3	1	13	6	18
5	Arouca	9	5	2	2	12	7	17
6	Académico	9	5	2	2	13	11	17
7	Gil Vicente	9	4	2	3	8	7	14
8	Braga	9	3	2	4	9	11	11
9	Moreirense	9	3	2	4	11	16	11
10	Alverca	9	3	2	4	13	13	11
11	FC Famalicao	9	2	4	3	14	11	10
12	Estrela	9	2	4	3	14	17	10
13	Vitória	9	2	2	5	10	10	8
14	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	9	19	8
15	Rio Ave	9	2	1	6	8	21	7
16	Nacional	9	2	1	6	10	18	7
17	Casa Pia	10	2	1	7	5	19	7
18	Estoril	9	0	2	7	5	15	2

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

20:15Primeira Ligastats

Gil Vicente v Vitória

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Gil Vicente1X2	2.80	7.0%	-6.50%
#2	Vitória1X2	2.60	7.0%	-6.50%
#3	Under 2.5O/U	1.62	8.1%	-7.26%
#4	Draw1X2	3.05	7.0%	-7.43%
#5	Vitória handicapAH	2.45	9.1%	-7.65%

Market favourite: Vitória (36%) @ 2.60

Academia das Apostas pick — Hipótese dupla, Gil Vicente FC ou Empate

Form · last 5, latest right

Gil VicenteDWWWDGF 8 · GA 7

VitóriaLDLWD

Points per game

Gil Vicente1.56season · 9 gm2.20last 5

Vitória1.00last 5

Head to head · VSC leads series 4-0-1

18 Apr 26Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitória de Guimaraes

08 Dec 25Vitória de Guimaraes 0–0 Gil Vicente

11 Apr 25Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitória de Guimaraes

02 Dec 24Vitória de Guimaraes 4–0 Gil Vicente

08 Feb 24Vitória de Guimaraes 3–1 Gil Vicente

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	21	4	27
2	Benfica	9	7	1	1	26	8	22
3	Sporting	10	6	3	1	23	11	21
4	Santa Clara	9	5	3	1	13	6	18
5	Arouca	9	5	2	2	12	7	17
6	Académico	9	5	2	2	13	11	17
7	Gil Vicente	9	4	2	3	8	7	14
8	Braga	9	3	2	4	9	11	11
9	Moreirense	9	3	2	4	11	16	11
10	Alverca	9	3	2	4	13	13	11
11	FC Famalicao	9	2	4	3	14	11	10
12	Estrela	9	2	4	3	14	17	10
13	Vitória	9	2	2	5	10	10	8
14	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	9	19	8
15	Rio Ave	9	2	1	6	8	21	7
16	Nacional	9	2	1	6	10	18	7
17	Casa Pia	10	2	1	7	5	19	7
18	Estoril	9	0	2	7	5	15	2

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

Other Top Flights

3 matches · ranked by expected return. Click a card for stats.

16:00Super Leaguestats

Atromitos v Volos

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Atromitos1X2	1.87	7.2%	-6.12%
#2	Draw1X2	3.60	7.2%	-7.71%
#3	Volos1X2	3.85	7.2%	-7.71%
#4	Over 2.5O/U	1.91	8.9%	-8.12%
#5	Under 2.5O/U	1.77	8.9%	-8.12%

Market favourite: Atromitos (50%) @ 1.87

Form · last 5, latest right

AtromitosDDLLDGF 6 · GA 12

VolosLLLDDGF 6 · GA 13

Points per game

Atromitos0.29season · 7 gm0.60last 5

Volos0.00season · 8 gm0.40last 5

Head to head · Series tied 2-2-1

19 Jan 26Volos NFC 0–3 Atromitos

09 Nov 25Atromitos 0–1 Volos NFC

24 Jan 25Volos NFC 0–1 Atromitos

05 Oct 24Atromitos 1–2 Volos NFC

13 Apr 24Volos NFC 2–2 Atromitos

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	8	7	0	1	18	4	21
2	Olympiacos	8	6	1	1	12	2	19
3	AEK Athens	7	5	2	0	21	3	17
4	Aris	8	5	1	2	13	14	16
5	PAOK	8	5	0	3	16	11	15
6	OFI Crete	8	4	1	3	13	12	13
7	Kifisia	8	3	2	3	10	11	11
8	Kalamata	8	3	1	4	13	17	10
9	Iraklis	8	2	3	3	9	11	9
10	Panetolikos	8	3	0	5	8	16	9
11	Asteras Trip	8	1	3	4	7	15	6
12	Levadiakos	8	0	3	5	0	11	3
13	Atromitos	7	0	2	5	6	12	2
14	Volos	8	0	3	5	6	13	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

17:00Super Ligstats

Genclerbirli v Alanyaspor

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Genclerbirli1X2	2.65	7.4%	-6.99%
#2	Alanyaspor1X2	2.60	7.4%	-6.99%
#3	Over 2.5O/U	1.95	8.7%	-7.88%
#4	Under 2.5O/U	1.74	8.7%	-7.88%
#5	Draw1X2	3.20	7.4%	-7.92%

Market favourite: Alanyaspor (36%) @ 2.60

Form · last 5, latest right

GenclerbirliLLDLDGF 7 · GA 18

AlanyasporDWDLDGF 9 · GA 11

Points per game

Genclerbirli0.89season · 9 gm0.40last 5

Alanyaspor1.33season · 9 gm1.20last 5

Head to head · GEN leads series 3-0-2

09 Mar 26Alanyaspor 0–0 Genclerbirligi

04 Oct 25Genclerbirligi 2–2 Alanyaspor

04 Apr 21Alanyaspor 1–2 Genclerbirligi

05 Dec 20Genclerbirligi 2–1 Alanyaspor

16 Feb 20Alanyaspor 0–1 Genclerbirligi

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Galatasaray	10	8	1	1	23	12	25
2	Amed SFK	9	6	2	1	20	10	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	22	8	19
4	Besiktas	9	6	0	3	18	10	18
5	Fenerbahce	9	5	1	3	23	8	16
6	Kasimpasa	9	4	4	1	13	9	16
7	Kocaelispor	9	5	0	4	11	9	15
8	Erzurum	9	4	2	3	8	12	14
9	Çorum FK	9	4	1	4	18	15	13
10	Goztepe	9	3	3	3	19	16	12
11	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	9	11	12
12	Istanbul BB	9	3	2	4	12	14	11
13	Caykur Rizespor	9	3	1	5	11	15	10
14	Gaziantep	9	2	2	5	9	15	8
15	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	6	13	8
16	Genclerbirli	9	2	2	5	7	18	8
17	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	8	21	4
18	Eyupspor	9	1	0	8	2	23	3

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

17:30Super Leaguestats

Kalamata v Iraklis

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Kalamata1X2	2.35	7.1%	-6.10%
#2	Draw1X2	3.10	7.1%	-7.54%
#3	Iraklis1X2	3.10	7.1%	-7.54%
#4	Under 2.5O/U	1.65	8.4%	-7.62%
#5	Kalamata -0.5AH	2.20	9.7%	-8.32%

Market favourite: Kalamata (40%) @ 2.35

Form · last 5, latest right

KalamataWLWWDGF 13 · GA 17

IraklisDDWLDGF 9 · GA 11

Points per game

Kalamata1.25season · 8 gm2.00last 5

Iraklis1.12season · 8 gm1.20last 5

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	8	7	0	1	18	4	21
2	Olympiacos	8	6	1	1	12	2	19
3	AEK Athens	7	5	2	0	21	3	17
4	Aris	8	5	1	2	13	14	16
5	PAOK	8	5	0	3	16	11	15
6	OFI Crete	8	4	1	3	13	12	13
7	Kifisia	8	3	2	3	10	11	11
8	Kalamata	8	3	1	4	13	17	10
9	Iraklis	8	2	3	3	9	11	9
10	Panetolikos	8	3	0	5	8	16	9
11	Asteras Trip	8	1	3	4	7	15	6
12	Levadiakos	8	0	3	5	0	11	3
13	Atromitos	7	0	2	5	6	12	2
14	Volos	8	0	3	5	6	13	0

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

Lower Leagues

4 matches · ranked by expected return. Click a card for stats.

15:15Segunda Divisionstats

Real Oviedo v Las Palmas

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Real Oviedo1X2	1.71	6.7%	-5.62%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.91	7.9%	-7.15%
#3	Under 2.5O/U	1.80	7.9%	-7.15%
#4	Draw1X2	3.75	6.7%	-7.21%
#5	Las Palmas handicapAH	2.05	8.8%	-7.36%

Market favourite: Real Oviedo (55%) @ 1.71

Form · last 5, latest right

Real OviedoLWWDDGF 15 · GA 12

Las PalmasDLLWDGF 14 · GA 19

Points per game

Real Oviedo1.64season · 11 gm1.60last 5

Las Palmas1.27season · 11 gm1.00last 5

Head to head · Series tied 1-1-3

09 Apr 23Las Palmas 0–1 Real Oviedo

06 Dec 22Real Oviedo 0–0 Las Palmas

21 May 22Las Palmas 2–1 Real Oviedo

06 Nov 21Real Oviedo 1–1 Las Palmas

10 Apr 21Real Oviedo 0–0 Las Palmas

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Castellón	11	8	2	1	22	4	26
2	Almería	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20	13	22
4	Girona	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
5	Granada	11	6	2	3	18	14	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16	12	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13	6	19
8	Gijón	11	6	1	4	11	13	19
9	Real Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
10	CD Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11	9	17
11	Córdoba	11	5	0	6	17	20	15
12	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
13	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
16	Celta Fortuna	11	3	3	5	16	21	12
17	Leganés	11	3	3	5	7	16	12
18	Cádiz	11	2	4	5	14	14	10
19	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
20	Real Sociedad II	11	2	2	7	14	22	8
21	Ceuta	11	1	2	8	10	25	5
22	Albacete	11	1	1	9	8	22	4

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

17:30Segunda Divisionstats

Valladolid v Leganés

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Valladolid1X2	1.87	6.2%	-5.08%
#2	Draw1X2	3.65	6.2%	-6.67%
#3	Leganés1X2	3.95	6.2%	-6.67%
#4	Over 2.5O/U	1.95	8.7%	-7.88%
#5	Under 2.5O/U	1.74	8.7%	-7.88%

Market favourite: Valladolid (50%) @ 1.87

Form · last 5, latest right

ValladolidDWLLDGF 16 · GA 16

LeganésLLLLDGF 7 · GA 16

Points per game

Valladolid1.09season · 11 gm1.00last 5

Leganés1.09season · 11 gm0.20last 5

Head to head · LEG leads series 2-1-2

14 Mar 26Real Valladolid 3–2 Leganés

11 Jan 26Leganés 3–0 Real Valladolid

24 May 25Leganés 3–0 Real Valladolid

28 Aug 24Real Valladolid 0–0 Leganés

03 Feb 24Leganés 0–0 Real Valladolid

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Castellón	11	8	2	1	22	4	26
2	Almería	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20	13	22
4	Girona	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
5	Granada	11	6	2	3	18	14	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16	12	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13	6	19
8	Gijón	11	6	1	4	11	13	19
9	Real Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
10	CD Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11	9	17
11	Córdoba	11	5	0	6	17	20	15
12	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
13	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
16	Celta Fortuna	11	3	3	5	16	21	12
17	Leganés	11	3	3	5	7	16	12
18	Cádiz	11	2	4	5	14	14	10
19	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
20	Real Sociedad II	11	2	2	7	14	22	8
21	Ceuta	11	1	2	8	10	25	5
22	Albacete	11	1	1	9	8	22	4

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

19:45Ligue 2stats

Reims v Sochaux

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Reims1X2	1.67	6.9%	-5.80%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.77	7.7%	-6.96%
#3	Under 2.5O/U	1.95	7.7%	-6.96%
#4	Draw1X2	3.90	6.9%	-7.38%
#5	Sochaux handicapAH	2.10	9.9%	-8.46%

Market favourite: Reims (56%) @ 1.67

Form · last 5, latest right

ReimsWDDWDGF 20 · GA 12

SochauxWDDLDGF 8 · GA 12

Points per game

Reims1.80season · 10 gm1.80last 5

Sochaux1.10season · 10 gm1.20last 5

Head to head · Series tied 2-2-1

21 Jan 24Sochaux 2–2 Stade de Reims

09 Feb 18Stade de Reims 3–0 Sochaux

16 Sep 17Sochaux 2–4 Stade de Reims

11 Feb 17Stade de Reims 0–1 Sochaux

16 Sep 16Sochaux 1–1 Stade de Reims

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St. Étienne	10	8	1	1	23	8	25
2	Montpellier	10	6	3	1	13	6	21
3	Pau	11	6	2	3	16	11	20
4	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
5	Reims	10	4	6	0	20	12	18
6	Red Star FC	10	5	2	3	13	12	17
7	Annecy	10	5	1	4	14	12	16
8	Dijon FCO	11	4	3	4	20	19	15
9	Metz	11	3	5	3	17	17	14
10	Rodez Aveyron	11	4	1	6	17	22	13
11	Dunkerque	11	3	3	5	14	17	12
12	Guingamp	10	3	2	5	13	15	11
13	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	11
14	Boulogne	11	1	7	3	7	8	10
15	Nantes	11	2	3	6	12	18	9
16	Stade Laval	11	2	3	6	14	21	9
17	Clermont Foot	11	0	8	3	10	15	8
18	Grenoble	11	2	2	7	10	20	8

Full stats at Academia das Apostas ↗

20:00Segunda Divisionstats

Mallorca v Cádiz

	Pick	Odds	Margin	Exp.
#1	Mallorca1X2	1.49	7.0%	-3.66%
#2	Over 2.5O/U	1.87	8.0%	-7.25%
#3	Under 2.5O/U	1.83	8.0%	-7.25%
#4	Mallorca -1.5AH	2.35	9.2%	-7.80%
#5	Cádiz handicapAH	1.50	9.2%	-9.14%

Market favourite: Mallorca (63%) @ 1.49

Form · last 5, latest right

MallorcaLDWDDGF 13 · GA 6

CádizWLLWDGF 14 · GA 14

Points per game

Mallorca1.73season · 11 gm1.20last 5

Cádiz0.91season · 11 gm1.40last 5

Head to head · MLL leads series 2-1-2

28 Apr 24Cádiz 1–1 Mallorca

29 Nov 23Mallorca 1–1 Cádiz

12 May 23Mallorca 1–0 Cádiz

28 Jan 23Cádiz 2–0 Mallorca

05 Feb 22Mallorca 2–1 Cádiz

Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Castellón	11	8	2	1	22	4	26
2	Almería	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20	13	22
4	Girona	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
5	Granada	11	6	2	3	18	14	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16	12	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13	6	19
8	Gijón	11	6	1	4	11	13	19
9	Real Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
10	CD Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11	9	17
11	Córdoba	11	5	0	6	17	20	15
12	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
13	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
16	Celta Fortuna	11	3	3	5	16	21	12
17	Leganés	11	3	3	5	7	16	12
18	Cádiz	11	2	4	5	14	14	10
19	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
20	Real Sociedad II	11	2	2	7	14	22	8
21	Ceuta	11	1	2	8	10	25	5
22	Albacete	11	1	1	9	8	22	4

How these are chosen

Two market facts do the ranking, and neither is a prediction.

Price. Short-priced selections lose far less than long ones — −0.5% at odds under 1.50 against −24% above 10.00, measured on every closing price in 362,970 matches. This is the favourite–long-shot bias. It is well known, already in the price, and cannot be beaten — only respected.

Commission. Each selection is then charged the actual margin on the line being offered, which today ranges across the card. A bet at 9% commission must overcome six more points than the same bet at 3%.

What would help more than any pick here is taking the best price across several bookmakers rather than one: worth about +2.8 points at match result, measured the same way. That is larger than the spread across this entire page.

calibration built 2026-08-27 · python3 picks.py --recalibrate