Red Imps v Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split 1X2
1.39odds
-1.00%expected
Generated 04 Nov 2026, 10:39 · kick-off times WET
Thursday 05 November 2026
The five least-bad selections on the whole board — one per match, ranked by expected return. Featured, not endorsed: every one of them still loses.
Hajduk Split 1X2
Sunderland 1X2
Panathinaikos 1X2
Monaco 1X2
CSU Craiova 1X2
Built from the day’s shortest-priced favourites — the accumulators most likely to actually land. Every leg multiplies the commission: watch the expected return get worse with each leg added.
34 matches · ranked by expected return. Click a card for stats.
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Milan1X2 | 1.32 | 5.6% | -2.23% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.62 | 5.0% | -4.23% |
| #3 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.30 | 5.0% | -5.92% |
| #4 | Milan -1.5AH | 1.80 | 7.9% | -7.86% |
| #5 | Ferencvaros handicapAH | 1.91 | 7.9% | -7.86% |
Market favourite: Milan (72%) @ 1.32
Academia das Apostas pick — Milan vence e mais de 2,5 golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Anderlecht1X2 | 1.95 | 5.0% | -3.85% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.59 | 5.5% | -4.73% |
| #3 | Draw1X2 | 3.85 | 5.0% | -5.44% |
| #4 | RB Salzburg1X2 | 3.60 | 5.0% | -5.44% |
| #5 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.35 | 5.5% | -6.42% |
Market favourite: Anderlecht (49%) @ 1.95
Academia das Apostas pick — Mais de 2,5 golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | C Palace1X2 | 1.95 | 5.1% | -3.99% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.61 | 5.7% | -4.95% |
| #3 | Draw1X2 | 3.95 | 5.1% | -5.57% |
| #4 | Hoffenheim1X2 | 3.50 | 5.1% | -5.57% |
| #5 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.30 | 5.7% | -6.64% |
Market favourite: C Palace (49%) @ 1.95
Academia das Apostas pick — Ambas equipas marcam? Sim
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Levski Sofia1X2 | 2.00 | 5.6% | -4.59% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.80 | 5.6% | -4.77% |
| #3 | Draw1X2 | 3.60 | 5.6% | -6.02% |
| #4 | Jagiellonia1X2 | 3.60 | 5.6% | -6.02% |
| #5 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.00 | 5.6% | -6.46% |
Market favourite: Levski Sofia (47%) @ 2.00
Academia das Apostas pick — Ambas equipas marcam? Sim
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Viktoria Plzen1X2 | 2.20 | 4.2% | -3.25% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.57 | 5.3% | -4.52% |
| #3 | Lillestrom1X2 | 3.05 | 4.2% | -4.68% |
| #4 | Draw1X2 | 3.85 | 4.2% | -4.68% |
| #5 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.40 | 5.3% | -6.21% |
Market favourite: Viktoria Plzen (44%) @ 2.20
Academia das Apostas pick — Mais de 2,5 golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | NEC1X2 | 1.83 | 4.9% | -3.75% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.57 | 5.3% | -4.52% |
| #3 | Omonia1X2 | 3.95 | 4.9% | -5.33% |
| #4 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.40 | 5.3% | -6.21% |
| #5 | NEC -0.5AH | 1.77 | 7.7% | -7.66% |
Market favourite: NEC (52%) @ 1.83
Academia das Apostas pick — Mais de 2,5 golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Real Sociedad1X2 | 1.80 | 4.9% | -3.83% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.57 | 5.3% | -4.52% |
| #3 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.40 | 5.3% | -6.21% |
| #4 | Draw1X2 | 4.10 | 4.9% | -7.94% |
| #5 | Lyon1X2 | 4.00 | 4.9% | -7.94% |
Market favourite: Real Sociedad (53%) @ 1.80
Academia das Apostas pick — Mais de 2,5 golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
Head to head · Series tied 2-2
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Bournemouth1X2 | 1.50 | 4.6% | -3.49% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.57 | 5.3% | -4.52% |
| #3 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.40 | 5.3% | -6.21% |
| #4 | Bournemouth handicapAH | 2.25 | 8.1% | -6.66% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 4.70 | 4.6% | -7.60% |
Market favourite: Bournemouth (64%) @ 1.50
Academia das Apostas pick — Bournemouth para vencer
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Braga1X2 | 2.00 | 4.6% | -3.66% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.95 | 5.8% | -4.98% |
| #3 | Under 2.5O/U | 1.83 | 5.8% | -4.98% |
| #4 | AGF1X2 | 3.90 | 4.6% | -5.09% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 3.45 | 4.6% | -5.09% |
Market favourite: Braga (48%) @ 2.00
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.77 | 6.5% | -5.74% |
| #2 | Atalanta -2.5AH | 2.20 | 8.4% | -7.00% |
| #3 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.00 | 6.5% | -7.43% |
| #4 | Kairat Almaty handicapAH | 1.59 | 8.4% | -8.34% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 8.00 | 4.9% | -12.63% |
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Thun1X2 | 2.30 | 5.4% | -4.39% |
| #2 | Hearts1X2 | 2.90 | 5.4% | -4.90% |
| #3 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.61 | 5.7% | -4.95% |
| #4 | Draw1X2 | 3.65 | 5.4% | -5.83% |
| #5 | FC Thun -0.5AH | 2.20 | 7.7% | -6.30% |
Market favourite: FC Thun (41%) @ 2.30
Academia das Apostas pick — Ambas equipas marcam? Sim
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | KAA Gent1X2 | 1.67 | 4.8% | -3.68% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.91 | 5.9% | -5.08% |
| #3 | Under 2.5O/U | 1.87 | 5.9% | -5.08% |
| #4 | KuPS Kuopio +0.5AH | 2.20 | 7.7% | -6.30% |
| #5 | KAA Gent handicapAH | 1.61 | 7.7% | -7.64% |
Market favourite: KAA Gent (57%) @ 1.67
Academia das Apostas pick — Handicap, Mais de 2 golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hajduk Split1X2 | 1.39 | 4.3% | -1.00% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.71 | 6.0% | -5.17% |
| #3 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.10 | 6.0% | -6.85% |
| #4 | Hajduk Split handicapAH | 2.00 | 8.3% | -6.91% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 5.00 | 4.3% | -7.32% |
Market favourite: Hajduk Split (69%) @ 1.39
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Mjällby1X2 | 2.30 | 5.0% | -4.05% |
| #2 | Under 2.5O/U | 1.74 | 6.2% | -5.44% |
| #3 | Draw1X2 | 3.25 | 5.0% | -5.48% |
| #4 | Borac1X2 | 3.25 | 5.0% | -5.48% |
| #5 | Mjällby -0.5AH | 2.20 | 7.7% | -6.30% |
Market favourite: Mjällby (41%) @ 2.30
Academia das Apostas pick — Handicap, Mais de 2 golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Over 3.5O/U | 1.77 | 5.3% | -4.52% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 2.05 | 5.3% | -6.21% |
| #3 | Inter D'Escaldes handicapAH | 2.05 | 8.8% | -7.36% |
| #4 | Red Star -2.5AH | 1.67 | 8.8% | -8.70% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 13.00 | 4.5% | -23.38% |
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Trabzonspor1X2 | 2.55 | 4.7% | -4.24% |
| #2 | Freiburg1X2 | 2.60 | 4.7% | -4.24% |
| #3 | Draw1X2 | 3.70 | 4.7% | -5.17% |
| #4 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.59 | 6.4% | -5.66% |
| #5 | Trabzonspor -0.5AH | 2.40 | 7.8% | -6.35% |
Market favourite: Trabzonspor (37%) @ 2.55
Academia das Apostas pick — Ambas equipas marcam? Sim
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Juventus1X2 | 2.00 | 4.8% | -3.87% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.80 | 5.6% | -4.77% |
| #3 | AZ Alkmaar1X2 | 3.55 | 4.8% | -5.30% |
| #4 | Draw1X2 | 3.75 | 4.8% | -5.30% |
| #5 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.00 | 5.6% | -6.46% |
Market favourite: Juventus (48%) @ 2.00
Academia das Apostas pick — Mais/Menos Golos -> Mais de 2,25 Golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Leverkusen1X2 | 1.38 | 5.1% | -1.74% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.74 | 5.1% | -4.28% |
| #3 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.10 | 5.1% | -5.97% |
| #4 | Leverkusen -1.5AH | 1.91 | 7.9% | -7.86% |
| #5 | Marseille handicapAH | 1.80 | 7.9% | -7.86% |
Market favourite: Leverkusen (69%) @ 1.38
Academia das Apostas pick — Handicap Asiático, Leverkusen -1
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
Head to head · B04 leads series 1-0
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Over 3.5O/U | 1.80 | 5.6% | -4.77% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 2.00 | 5.6% | -6.46% |
| #3 | Benfica -2.5AH | 1.95 | 8.7% | -8.59% |
| #4 | Lech Poznan handicapAH | 1.74 | 8.7% | -8.59% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 8.50 | 4.1% | -11.89% |
Academia das Apostas pick — Benfica para vencer ao intervalo
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
Head to head · SLB leads series 2-0
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Celta Vigo1X2 | 2.25 | 4.6% | -3.66% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.71 | 4.8% | -4.06% |
| #3 | Draw1X2 | 3.65 | 4.6% | -5.10% |
| #4 | Union SG1X2 | 3.05 | 4.6% | -5.10% |
| #5 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.15 | 4.8% | -5.75% |
Market favourite: Celta Vigo (42%) @ 2.25
Academia das Apostas pick — Ambas equipas marcam? Sim
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Besiktas1X2 | 2.15 | 4.7% | -3.78% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.61 | 4.8% | -4.03% |
| #3 | Celtic1X2 | 3.10 | 4.7% | -5.21% |
| #4 | Draw1X2 | 3.85 | 4.7% | -5.21% |
| #5 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.35 | 4.8% | -5.72% |
Market favourite: Besiktas (44%) @ 2.15
Academia das Apostas pick — Ambas equipas marcam? Sim
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hapoel Be'er1X2 | 2.10 | 4.5% | -3.53% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.67 | 5.5% | -4.67% |
| #3 | Draw1X2 | 3.70 | 4.5% | -4.96% |
| #4 | OFI Crete1X2 | 3.35 | 4.5% | -4.96% |
| #5 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.20 | 5.5% | -6.36% |
Market favourite: Hapoel Be'er (46%) @ 2.10
Academia das Apostas pick — Mais/Menos Golos -> Mais de 2,25 Golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Sturm Graz1X2 | 1.54 | 4.8% | -3.72% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.57 | 5.3% | -4.52% |
| #3 | Sturm Graz -1.5AH | 2.35 | 7.5% | -6.05% |
| #4 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.40 | 5.3% | -6.21% |
| #5 | NK Celje handicapAH | 1.54 | 7.5% | -7.39% |
Market favourite: Sturm Graz (62%) @ 1.54
Academia das Apostas pick — Sturm para vencer
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Sunderland1X2 | 1.48 | 4.4% | -1.08% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.67 | 4.4% | -3.66% |
| #3 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.25 | 4.4% | -5.35% |
| #4 | Sunderland -1.5AH | 2.25 | 7.4% | -5.99% |
| #5 | Dinamo Zagreb handicapAH | 1.59 | 7.4% | -7.33% |
Market favourite: Sunderland (65%) @ 1.48
Academia das Apostas pick — Mais de 2,5 golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Torreense1X2 | 1.77 | 4.9% | -3.77% |
| #2 | Under 2.5O/U | 1.80 | 5.6% | -4.77% |
| #3 | Draw1X2 | 3.90 | 4.9% | -5.36% |
| #4 | Over 2.5O/U | 2.00 | 5.6% | -6.46% |
| #5 | Ararat-Armenia handicapAH | 2.00 | 8.3% | -6.91% |
Market favourite: Torreense (54%) @ 1.77
Academia das Apostas pick — Handicap, Mais de 2 golos
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Monaco1X2 | 1.44 | 4.6% | -1.29% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.74 | 6.2% | -5.44% |
| #3 | Monaco -1.5AH | 2.00 | 8.3% | -6.91% |
| #4 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.05 | 6.2% | -7.13% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 5.00 | 4.6% | -7.61% |
Market favourite: Monaco (66%) @ 1.44
Academia das Apostas pick — Mónaco para vencer
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | CSU Craiova1X2 | 1.48 | 4.9% | -1.54% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.71 | 6.0% | -5.17% |
| #3 | CSU Craiova -1.5AH | 2.15 | 8.1% | -6.63% |
| #4 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.10 | 6.0% | -6.85% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 4.60 | 4.9% | -7.86% |
Market favourite: CSU Craiova (65%) @ 1.48
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.77 | 6.5% | -5.74% |
| #2 | København -2.5AH | 2.25 | 8.1% | -6.66% |
| #3 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.00 | 6.5% | -7.43% |
| #4 | Iberia 1999 handicapAH | 1.57 | 8.1% | -8.00% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 8.00 | 4.4% | -12.10% |
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Lugano -2.5AH | 2.25 | 7.4% | -5.99% |
| #2 | Over 3.5O/U | 1.87 | 7.0% | -6.19% |
| #3 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.87 | 7.0% | -6.19% |
| #4 | Kauno Zalgiris handicapAH | 1.59 | 7.4% | -7.33% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 7.50 | 5.0% | -12.77% |
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Twente1X2 | 1.33 | 4.9% | -1.57% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.74 | 6.2% | -5.44% |
| #3 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.05 | 6.2% | -7.13% |
| #4 | Draw1X2 | 5.75 | 4.9% | -7.88% |
| #5 | FC Twente -1.5AH | 1.77 | 8.9% | -8.82% |
Market favourite: FC Twente (72%) @ 1.33
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Brighton1X2 | 1.57 | 4.7% | -3.58% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.91 | 5.9% | -5.08% |
| #3 | Under 2.5O/U | 1.87 | 5.9% | -5.08% |
| #4 | Getafe +0.5AH | 2.40 | 7.8% | -6.35% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 4.10 | 4.7% | -7.68% |
Market favourite: Brighton (61%) @ 1.57
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Panathinaikos1X2 | 1.48 | 4.4% | -1.08% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.69 | 5.7% | -4.91% |
| #3 | Panathinaikos -1.5AH | 2.20 | 7.7% | -6.30% |
| #4 | Under 2.5O/U | 2.15 | 5.7% | -6.60% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 4.70 | 4.4% | -7.39% |
Market favourite: Panathinaikos (65%) @ 1.48
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Riga FC1X2 | 2.35 | 5.3% | -4.33% |
| #2 | Over 2.5O/U | 1.87 | 5.9% | -5.08% |
| #3 | Under 2.5O/U | 1.91 | 5.9% | -5.08% |
| #4 | Draw1X2 | 3.40 | 5.3% | -5.77% |
| #5 | Jablonec1X2 | 3.00 | 5.3% | -5.77% |
Market favourite: Riga FC (40%) @ 2.35
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
| Pick | Odds | Margin | Exp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Sint-Truidense1X2 | 1.71 | 4.4% | -3.25% |
| #2 | Under 3.5O/U | 1.59 | 5.5% | -4.73% |
| #3 | Over 3.5O/U | 2.35 | 5.5% | -6.42% |
| #4 | SK Brann handicapAH | 2.10 | 8.4% | -6.98% |
| #5 | Draw1X2 | 4.20 | 4.4% | -7.35% |
Market favourite: Sint-Truidense (56%) @ 1.71
Form · last 5, latest right
Points per game
Two market facts do the ranking, and neither is a prediction.
Price. Short-priced selections lose far less than long ones — −0.5% at odds under 1.50 against −24% above 10.00, measured on every closing price in 362,970 matches. This is the favourite–long-shot bias. It is well known, already in the price, and cannot be beaten — only respected.
Commission. Each selection is then charged the actual margin on the line being offered, which today ranges across the card. A bet at 9% commission must overcome six more points than the same bet at 3%.
What would help more than any pick here is taking the best price across several bookmakers rather than one: worth about +2.8 points at match result, measured the same way. That is larger than the spread across this entire page.
calibration built 2026-08-27 ·
python3 picks.py --recalibrate